MIYI Poisson Model Predicts Soccer Scores Introduction

The Poisson distribution is a probability distribution that is widely used in mathematics and it plays an important role in predicting the scores of soccer matches.

The basic idea of Poisson distribution is that in a certain probability space, the probability of an event occurring is proportional to the number of times the event occurs. In soccer, each team has the possibility of winning and losing, no matter how many or how complex the factors affecting the game, the biggest impact on the outcome of the game is still the strength of the team. The strength of the team is ultimately reflected in the performance, that is, the number of goals scored; a game time the goals of the two teams can be regarded as a "goal scoring event", so you can use the Poisson distribution to predict the probability of the score of the game and the probability of winning or losing.

MIYI Poisson Football Score Prediction Model provides a dedicated Poisson distribution soccer score prediction model based on historical data, machine learning and other big data technologies, using advanced algorithms and theoretical foundations, as well as a large amount of real-world data for training and optimization to improve prediction accuracy.

In addition, www.mysoccers.cn has also developed a WeChat applet with Poisson distribution formula for soccer match score prediction. Users can select the team name of a soccer match on both the website and the applet, and then predict the probability of winning or losing the match and the score.

The advantage of MIYI www.mysoccers.cn is that it combines the Poisson distribution probability formula with soccer matches, providing users with a new method of predicting the score of soccer matches. In addition, it also provides abundant historical and real-time data as well as statistics, which users can choose and use according to their needs.

MIYI Poisson Soccer www.mysoccers.cn aims to be a professional soccer match score prediction platform. In the future, we will study more about the relationship between Poisson distribution probability formula and soccer matches to provide users with more and more efficient and accurate prediction models. With the continuous development and progress of technology, MIYI www.mysoccers.cn will also continue to improve and perfect, to provide users with more high-quality service and support.

The statistics, calculations and tools used by MIYI www.mysoccers.cn are detailed in the "How To Use " section.

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ROUND 34More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Brighton Hove Albion  VS  Chelsea HT: 36.616  37.269  26.116  (Half: 1 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 40.443  25.628  34.03 
Bournemouth AFC  VS  Leeds United HT: 23.899  49.866  26.135  -
FT: 37.686  26.548  35.966 
Burnley  VS  Manchester City HT: 4.101  24.859  71.24  -
FT: 8.259  13.847  77.094 
Sunderland A.F.C  VS  Nottingham Forest HT: 52.957  41.25  5.693  -
FT: 46.224  28.234  25.542 
Fulham  VS  Aston Villa HT: 36.806  41.851  21.342  -
FT: 46.159  20.305  33.337 
Liverpool  VS  Crystal Palace HT: 65.964  30.133  3.704  -
FT: 57.802  23.148  18.85 
West Ham United  VS  Everton HT: 50.663  41.462  7.975  -
FT: 30.537  28.785  40.578 
Wolves  VS  Tottenham Hotspur HT: 33.697  50.879  15.324  -
FT: 41.329  28.033  30.637 
Arsenal  VS  Newcastle United HT: 32.377  44.41  23.113  -
FT: 59.853  22.16  17.687 
Manchester United  VS  Brentford HT: 30.578  42.845  26.576  -
FT: 50.6  22.564  26.636 
ROUND 30More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
FC St. Pauli  VS  FC Köln HT: 22.467  63.404  14.029  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 31.326  31.78  36.794 
Werder Bremen  VS  Hamburger SV HT: 9.479  50.01  40.51  (Half: 1 - 1)
3 - 1
FT: 33.265  26.893  39.743 
Bayer Leverkusen  VS  FC Augsburg HT: 69.019  20.681  10.1  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 2
FT: 83.234  10.346  5.218 
Union Berlin  VS  VfL Wolfsburg HT: 17.919  36.657  45.324  (Half: 0 - 1)
1 - 2
FT: 51.759  21.29  26.951 
TSG Hoffenheim  VS  Borussia Dortmund HT: 33.884  47.5  18.715  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 1
FT: 45.435  26.604  28.061 
Eintracht Frankfurt  VS  RB Leipzig HT: 9.825  60.284  29.991  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 3
FT: 26.285  25.912  47.903 
SC Freiburg  VS  1. FC Heidenheim HT: 61.689  31.751  6.459  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 1
FT: 73.088  16.591  10.021 
Bayern Munchen  VS  VfB Stuttgart HT: 54.328  21.815  23.756  (Half: 3 - 1)
4 - 2
FT: 64.905  12.355  16.452 
Borussia Monchengladbach  VS  FSV Mainz 05 HT: 37.596  37.155  25.149  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 46.551  25.92  27.529 
ROUND 33More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Sassuolo  VS  Como HT: 9.642  36.242  54.117  (Half: 2 - 1)
2 - 1
FT: 10.44  17.874  71.286 
Inter Milan  VS  Cagliari HT: 72.771  19.668  7.261  (Half: 0 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 81.901  8.819  5.68 
Udinese  VS  Parma HT: 24.061  55.767  20.273  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 1
FT: 37.256  38.025  24.719 
Napoli  VS  Lazio HT: 24.228  69.767  5.905  (Half: 0 - 1)
0 - 2
FT: 41.613  37.482  20.804 
AS Roma  VS  Atalanta HT: 58.101  39.484  2.416  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 1
FT: 54.898  27.741  17.262 
Cremonese  VS  Torino HT: 18.095  49.072  32.733  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 0
FT: 25.034  25.531  49.535 
Verona  VS  AC Milan HT: 14.072  44.45  41.477  (Half: 0 - 1)
0 - 1
FT: 5.564  14.3  79.836 
Pisa  VS  Genoa HT: 10.33  65.113  24.557  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 2
FT: 15.809  25.492  58.899 
Juventus  VS  Bologna HT: 26.368  41.502  32.031  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 55.98  22.078  21.942 
Lecce  VS  Fiorentina HT: 29.217  45.916  24.768  (Half: 0 - 1)
1 - 1
FT: 21.758  24.764  53.377 
ROUND 33More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Athletic Bilbao  VS  Osasuna HT: 17.998  57.291  24.711  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 0
FT: 33.297  28.966  37.536 
Mallorca  VS  Valencia HT: 25.211  39.167  35.422  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 47.656  24.852  27.392 
Girona  VS  Real Betis HT: 32.504  53.379  14.218  (Half: 1 - 1)
2 - 3
FT: 39.61  29.654  30.736 
Real Madrid  VS  Deportivo Alavés HT: 45.416  39.297  15.387  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 1
FT: 72.804  13.774  11.824 
Elche  VS  Atletico Madrid HT: 19.406  49.676  30.918  -
FT: 41.722  26.687  31.391 
Real Sociedad  VS  Getafe HT: 37.293  49.636  13.072  -
FT: 51.829  24.839  23.132 
FC Barcelona  VS  Real Club Celta de Vigo SAD HT: 35.762  56.924  7.314  -
FT: 60.056  24.385  15.559 
Levante  VS  Sevilla HT: 16.512  70.733  12.655  -
FT: 55.879  24.258  19.863 
Rayo Vallecano  VS  RCD Espanyol HT: 45.172  43.654  11.274  -
FT: 56.214  23.797  19.989 
Real Oviedo  VS  Villarreal HT: 24.9  75.1  -
FT: 25.314  47.503  27.183 
ROUND 30More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Lens  VS  Toulouse HT: 55.38  32.38  12.24  (Half: 0 - 2)
3 - 2
FT: 71.875  17.563  10.362 
Lorient  VS  Marseille HT: 36.806  34.506  28.688  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 52.98  22.442  24.479 
Angers  VS  Le Havre AC HT: 30.1  62.57  7.33  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 1
FT: 56.595  29.841  13.664 
Lille  VS  Nice HT: 51.285  37.683  10.832  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 0
FT: 73.263  15.34  10.797 
Monaco  VS  AJ Auxerre HT: 27.367  47.324  25.309  (Half: 0 - 2)
2 - 2
FT: 58.492  24.298  17.21 
Metz  VS  Paris FC HT: 5.682  48.803  45.415  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 3
FT: 22.715  27.705  49.48 
Nantes  VS  Stade Brestois 29 HT: 41.556  36.453  21.891  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 36.224  25.31  38.566 
Strasbourg  VS  Stade Rennais FC HT: 40.43  43.886  15.784  (Half: 0 - 1)
0 - 3
FT: 52.98  22.442  24.479 
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)  VS  Lyon HT: 34.239  41.472  24.189  (Half: 0 - 2)
1 - 2
FT: 65.328  20.391  14.181 
2026-04-22More..
League Teams VS / Kick Off Poisson Rating FT Detail
W% D% L%
U17 European Youth Championship Hungary U17 VS Liechtenstein U17 24.60  0.00  0.00  VS
International Friendlies Spain (w) U16 VS Sweden (w)U16 57.45  16.57  24.48  VS
Australian FA Cup Blacktown City Demons VS Blacktown Spartans 83.80  10.15  4.75  VS
Australian FA Cup Coniston FC VS Bankstown United FC 43.76  16.13  36.83  VS
J1 Gamba Osaka VS Avispa Fukuoka 60.90  26.04  13.06  VS
Korea Women's Professional Football League Sejong Gumi Sportstoto (w) VS Suwon FMC (w) 34.06  31.14  34.70  VS
North Macedonia Cup FK Ohrid 2004 VS Sileks 16.11  19.82  63.87  VS
K1 FC Anyang VS Ulsan Hyundai FC 59.74  20.99  19.27  VS
K1 Pohang Steelers VS Gwangju Football Club 39.94  48.22  11.84  VS
K1 Daejeon Citizen VS Jeju United 51.96  23.25  24.99  VS
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This tutorial focuses on how Vip users can use the site. Our Poisson probability is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away historical matches as a basis, the algorithm calculates the xG of the game, and then the Poisson distribution formula calculates the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the probability of winning or losing.

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