MIYI Poisson Model Predicts Soccer Scores Introduction

The Poisson distribution is a probability distribution that is widely used in mathematics and it plays an important role in predicting the scores of soccer matches.

The basic idea of Poisson distribution is that in a certain probability space, the probability of an event occurring is proportional to the number of times the event occurs. In soccer, each team has the possibility of winning and losing, no matter how many or how complex the factors affecting the game, the biggest impact on the outcome of the game is still the strength of the team. The strength of the team is ultimately reflected in the performance, that is, the number of goals scored; a game time the goals of the two teams can be regarded as a "goal scoring event", so you can use the Poisson distribution to predict the probability of the score of the game and the probability of winning or losing.

MIYI Poisson Football Score Prediction Model provides a dedicated Poisson distribution soccer score prediction model based on historical data, machine learning and other big data technologies, using advanced algorithms and theoretical foundations, as well as a large amount of real-world data for training and optimization to improve prediction accuracy.

In addition, www.mysoccers.cn has also developed a WeChat applet with Poisson distribution formula for soccer match score prediction. Users can select the team name of a soccer match on both the website and the applet, and then predict the probability of winning or losing the match and the score.

The advantage of MIYI www.mysoccers.cn is that it combines the Poisson distribution probability formula with soccer matches, providing users with a new method of predicting the score of soccer matches. In addition, it also provides abundant historical and real-time data as well as statistics, which users can choose and use according to their needs.

MIYI Poisson Soccer www.mysoccers.cn aims to be a professional soccer match score prediction platform. In the future, we will study more about the relationship between Poisson distribution probability formula and soccer matches to provide users with more and more efficient and accurate prediction models. With the continuous development and progress of technology, MIYI www.mysoccers.cn will also continue to improve and perfect, to provide users with more high-quality service and support.

The statistics, calculations and tools used by MIYI www.mysoccers.cn are detailed in the "How To Use " section.

Premier League
Bundesliga
Serie A
LaLiga
Ligue 1
Today
ROUND 2More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Crystal Palace  VS  Manchester City HT: 4.233  39.647  56.02  (Half: 0 - 1)
1 - 4
FT: 14.844  25.665  59.491 
Liverpool  VS  Nottingham Forest HT: 59.217  29.448  11.335  -
FT: 34.525  21.266  43.909 
Bournemouth AFC  VS  Everton HT: 27.295  44.702  28.003  -
FT: 31.314  22.977  45.61 
Coventry City  VS  Hull City HT: 30.717  43.585  25.698  -
FT: 68.876  17.924  13.001 
Tottenham Hotspur  VS  Newcastle United HT: 11.104  25.262  63.634  -
FT: 19.373  22.77  57.656 
Chelsea  VS  Brighton Hove Albion HT: 16.668  34.157  49.175  -
FT: 20.74  23.602  55.858 
Leeds United  VS  Brentford HT: 19.212  52.561  28.127  -
FT: 34.802  28.678  36.52 
Sunderland A.F.C  VS  Fulham HT: 40.994  53.116  5.89  -
FT: 34.299  35.365  30.436 
Manchester United  VS  Ipswich Town HT: 42.579  34.91  22.411  -
FT: 68.477  15.703  15.02 
Aston Villa  VS  Arsenal HT: 7.278  30.621  62.101  -
FT: 11.407  15.788  72.205 
ROUND 1More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Bayern Munchen  VS  VfB Stuttgart HT: 50.3  20.317  29.083  (Half: 1 - 0)
5 - 1
FT: 54.444  13.89  24.731 
SV Elversberg  VS  Bayer Leverkusen HT: 41.782  32.604  25.814  -
FT: 57.32  22.445  20.135 
FC Köln  VS  TSG Hoffenheim HT: 33.48  26.597  39.724  -
FT: 37.925  20.709  41.166 
FSV Mainz 05  VS  SC Paderborn 07 HT: 36.664  49.281  14.054  -
FT: 25.946  24.06  49.895 
RB Leipzig  VS  Borussia Monchengladbach HT: 81.048  17.883  1.069  -
FT: 75.961  14.788  8.651 
Union Berlin  VS  Eintracht Frankfurt HT: 21.995  40.929  36.975  -
FT: 38.119  23.384  38.497 
Borussia Dortmund  VS  Hamburger SV HT: 43.203  40.835  16.062  -
FT: 68.72  17.52  13.46 
SC Freiburg  VS  Werder Bremen HT: 42.829  48.167  8.903  -
FT: 52.932  27.941  19.026 
FC Augsburg  VS  Schalke 04 HT: 41.469  45.746  12.886  -
FT: 67.041  20.452  12.407 
ROUND 2More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
AC Milan  VS  Venezia HT: 7.856  66.792  25.351  (Half: 0 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 44.428  28.975  26.597 
Sassuolo  VS  Torino HT: 62.712  25.589  11.799  -
FT: 72.729  15.776  10.995 
Fiorentina  VS  Frosinone HT: 38.788  48.625  12.487  -
FT: 54.014  30.999  14.888 
Monza  VS  Udinese HT: 9.397  40.708  49.995  -
FT: 4.844  11.406  82.751 
Juventus  VS  Parma HT: 40.228  51.161  8.611  -
FT: 76.964  17.399  5.338 
Napoli  VS  Como HT: 21.222  38.811  39.867  -
FT: 21.783  26.527  51.49 
Lazio  VS  Genoa HT: 27.075  61.107  11.918  -
FT: 37.756  30.942  31.302 
Cagliari  VS  Inter Milan HT: 18.471  32.234  49.295  -
FT: 18.476  21.348  60.176 
Lecce  VS  AS Roma HT: 12.109  41.469  46.322  -
FT: 15.351  21.56  62.989 
Atalanta  VS  Bologna HT: 24.318  53.674  22.208  -
FT: 49.766  26.08  24.354 
ROUND 3More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Racing Santander  VS  Elche HT: 60.553  16.21  21.936  (Half: 3 - 0)
3 - 2
FT: 55.538  18.368  25.393 
Deportivo Alavés  VS  Villarreal HT: 47.129  39.203  13.769  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 0
FT: 40.194  24.044  35.661 
Levante  VS  Real Betis HT: 38.767  41.112  20.021  -
FT: 49.976  26.317  23.608 
Real Sociedad  VS  RCD Espanyol HT: 49.283  32.894  17.623  -
FT: 67.966  13.255  15.383 
Sevilla  VS  Atletico Madrid HT: 32.088  35.883  31.929  -
FT: 44.629  26.826  28.645 
Real Madrid  VS  Malaga HT: 100  -
FT: 94.3  3.5 
Deportivo La Coruna  VS  Valencia HT: 54.2  45.8  -
FT: 20.573  31.417  47.811 
Real Club Celta de Vigo SAD  VS  Athletic Bilbao HT: 60.431  29.692  9.877  -
FT: 51.242  19.367  28.991 
Osasuna  VS  Getafe HT: 7.839  63.692  28.57  -
FT: 27.363  37.176  35.361 
FC Barcelona  VS  Rayo Vallecano HT: 86.475  12.695  0.929  -
FT: 84.878  11.023  3.598 
ROUND 2More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Lille  VS  Paris Saint Germain (PSG) HT: 13.401  51.363  35.236  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 2
FT: 13.816  24.667  61.518 
Strasbourg  VS  Lens HT: 55.083  26.504  18.413  -
FT: 24.935  19.892  54.874 
AJ Auxerre  VS  Angers HT: 44.712  50.032  5.256  -
FT: 62.77  24.455  12.674 
Stade Brestois 29  VS  Toulouse HT: 33.842  27.696  38.362  -
FT: 44.243  24.464  31.293 
Lorient  VS  Troyes HT: 72.681  22.756  4.463  -
FT: 83.718  10.589  4.494 
Lyon  VS  Le Havre AC HT: 53.315  34.579  12.006  -
FT: 56.238  26.415  17.547 
Paris FC  VS  Nice HT: 57.373  28.973  13.653  -
FT: 54.562  22.904  22.434 
Stade Rennais FC  VS  Le Mans HT: 33.395  40.696  25.809  -
FT: 36.935  25.041  38.023 
Monaco  VS  Marseille HT: 37.276  43.363  19.461  -
FT: 70.719  17.507  11.374 
2026-08-29More..
League Teams VS / Kick Off Poisson Rating FT Detail
W% D% L%
Belgium U21 Francs Borains U21 VS Lierse U21 23.12  19.49  56.99  VS
Bosnia and Herzegovina First Division Radnik Bijeljina VS Borac Banja Luka 0.70  14.83  84.47  VS
Peru Second Division EM Deportivo Binacional VS Comerciantes FC 16.60  24.61  58.69  VS
Czech Women's First Division Slavia Praha (w) VS Horni Herspice (w) 86.65  1.79  0.36  VS
Mexico Superliga Club Tijuana VS Pumas U.N.A.M. 24.26  30.94  44.60  VS
Australia New South Wales Northern League Kahibah FC VS New Lambton FC 72.37  18.41  9.12  VS
Australia Tasmania Premier League South Hobart VS Kingborough Lions 51.21  20.16  28.33  VS
Victoria Premier League Avondale FC VS Hume City 70.77  9.45  10.08  VS
Victoria Premier League Caroline Springs George Cross VS South Melbourne 13.56  18.74  67.50  VS
Victoria Premier League Heidelberg United VS Bentleigh greens 72.22  16.00  11.38  VS
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This tutorial focuses on how Vip users can use the site. Our Poisson probability is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away historical matches as a basis, the algorithm calculates the xG of the game, and then the Poisson distribution formula calculates the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the probability of winning or losing.

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