MIYI Poisson Model Predicts Soccer Scores Introduction

The Poisson distribution is a probability distribution that is widely used in mathematics and it plays an important role in predicting the scores of soccer matches.

The basic idea of Poisson distribution is that in a certain probability space, the probability of an event occurring is proportional to the number of times the event occurs. In soccer, each team has the possibility of winning and losing, no matter how many or how complex the factors affecting the game, the biggest impact on the outcome of the game is still the strength of the team. The strength of the team is ultimately reflected in the performance, that is, the number of goals scored; a game time the goals of the two teams can be regarded as a "goal scoring event", so you can use the Poisson distribution to predict the probability of the score of the game and the probability of winning or losing.

MIYI Poisson Football Score Prediction Model provides a dedicated Poisson distribution soccer score prediction model based on historical data, machine learning and other big data technologies, using advanced algorithms and theoretical foundations, as well as a large amount of real-world data for training and optimization to improve prediction accuracy.

In addition, www.mysoccers.cn has also developed a WeChat applet with Poisson distribution formula for soccer match score prediction. Users can select the team name of a soccer match on both the website and the applet, and then predict the probability of winning or losing the match and the score.

The advantage of MIYI www.mysoccers.cn is that it combines the Poisson distribution probability formula with soccer matches, providing users with a new method of predicting the score of soccer matches. In addition, it also provides abundant historical and real-time data as well as statistics, which users can choose and use according to their needs.

MIYI Poisson Soccer www.mysoccers.cn aims to be a professional soccer match score prediction platform. In the future, we will study more about the relationship between Poisson distribution probability formula and soccer matches to provide users with more and more efficient and accurate prediction models. With the continuous development and progress of technology, MIYI www.mysoccers.cn will also continue to improve and perfect, to provide users with more high-quality service and support.

The statistics, calculations and tools used by MIYI www.mysoccers.cn are detailed in the "How To Use " section.

Premier League
Bundesliga
Serie A
LaLiga
Ligue 1
Today
ROUND 1More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Arsenal  VS  Coventry City HT: 52.8  47.2  (Half: 2 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 31.175  32.164  36.661 
Hull City  VS  Manchester United HT: 18.021  45.733  36.346  -
FT: 22.413  26.76  50.828 
Everton  VS  Crystal Palace HT: 35.446  38.875  25.578  -
FT: 47.086  22.301  30.613 
Ipswich Town  VS  Sunderland A.F.C HT: 24.605  37.374  38.021  -
FT: 7.668  11.558  79.075 
Nottingham Forest  VS  Leeds United HT: 5.343  57.359  37.298  -
FT: 31.318  34.872  34.011 
Brentford  VS  Tottenham Hotspur HT: 36.422  40.796  22.782  -
FT: 41.392  29.108  29.4 
Brighton Hove Albion  VS  Aston Villa HT: 22.859  48.215  28.826  -
FT: 51.208  27.532  21.159 
Manchester City  VS  Bournemouth AFC HT: 56.602  34.583  8.815  -
FT: 34.148  32.475  33.377 
Newcastle United  VS  Liverpool HT: 43.246  35.262  21.393  -
FT: 40.806  19.5  39.294 
Fulham  VS  Chelsea HT: 41.701  49.597  8.701  -
FT: 46.111  23.817  29.972 
ROUND 34More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Bayer Leverkusen  VS  Hamburger SV HT: 32.713  37.15  30.137  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 65.055  18.405  16.34 
FC St. Pauli  VS  VfL Wolfsburg HT: 19.229  53.855  26.916  (Half: 0 - 1)
1 - 3
FT: 44.238  24.628  31.134 
Union Berlin  VS  FC Augsburg HT: 15.436  50.089  34.275  (Half: 2 - 0)
4 - 0
FT: 33.032  25.859  41.108 
Borussia Monchengladbach  VS  TSG Hoffenheim HT: 45.472  29.105  25.523  (Half: 2 - 0)
4 - 0
FT: 46.733  26.134  27.133 
Werder Bremen  VS  Borussia Dortmund HT: 3.341  35.141  61.518  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 2
FT: 9.117  15.444  75.04 
Bayern Munchen  VS  FC Köln HT: 64.128  25.236  10.536  (Half: 3 - 1)
5 - 1
FT: 80.706  9.173  6.317 
1. FC Heidenheim  VS  FSV Mainz 05 HT: 15.638  27.536  56.726  (Half: 0 - 2)
0 - 2
FT: 23.909  19.929  55.962 
Eintracht Frankfurt  VS  VfB Stuttgart HT: 23.417  36.271  40.212  (Half: 0 - 2)
2 - 2
FT: 20.542  16.47  61.789 
SC Freiburg  VS  RB Leipzig HT: 23.19  60.258  16.652  (Half: 2 - 1)
4 - 1
FT: 33.776  27.234  38.99 
ROUND 38More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Fiorentina  VS  Atalanta HT: 11.904  56.478  31.518  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 25.287  36.516  38.397 
Bologna  VS  Inter Milan HT: 1.407  23.354  75.339  (Half: 2 - 1)
3 - 3
FT: 2.191  9.327  87.782 
Lazio  VS  Pisa HT: 20.717  40.245  38.839  (Half: 2 - 1)
2 - 1
FT: 72.68  16.188  10.832 
Parma  VS  Sassuolo HT: 13.945  65.017  21.037  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 0
FT: 27.456  28.812  43.632 
Napoli  VS  Udinese HT: 24.159  45.091  30.65  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 0
FT: 33.307  24.12  42.573 
AC Milan  VS  Cagliari HT: 21.484  53.65  24.766  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 2
FT: 56.969  23.78  19.252 
Cremonese  VS  Como HT: 6.333  39.007  54.56  (Half: 0 - 1)
1 - 4
FT: 3.045  13.524  83.23 
Lecce  VS  Genoa HT: 22.435  61.968  15.497  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 0
FT: 15.609  35.384  49.006 
Verona  VS  AS Roma HT: 6.333  39.007  54.56  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 2
FT: 8.486  20.109  71.206 
Torino  VS  Juventus HT: 10.732  51.492  37.776  (Half: 0 - 1)
2 - 2
FT: 18.91  21.456  59.533 
ROUND 2More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Rayo Vallecano  VS  Deportivo Alavés HT: 37.859  46.147  16.093  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 50.723  23.492  25.885 
Real Betis  VS  Real Sociedad HT: 32.651  33.068  34.182  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 0
FT: 57.559  23.042  19.199 
Athletic Bilbao  VS  Sevilla HT: 46.97  38.102  14.928  -
FT: 46.866  23.81  29.023 
Valencia  VS  Real Club Celta de Vigo SAD HT: 19.82  71.707  8.473  -
FT: 30.709  24.433  44.858 
RCD Espanyol  VS  Real Madrid HT: 14.912  50.779  34.309  -
FT: 14.556  25.618  59.726 
Atletico Madrid  VS  Villarreal HT: 34.974  39.337  25.69  -
FT: 54.847  24.402  20.451 
Getafe  VS  Racing Santander HT: 20.088  55.158  24.854  -
FT: 37.373  29.74  32.987 
Elche  VS  FC Barcelona HT: 20.611  48.012  31.477  -
FT: 18.341  22.076  59.483 
Osasuna  VS  Levante HT: 39.192  44.298  16.61  -
FT: 65.496  18.339  15.866 
Malaga  VS  Deportivo La Coruna HT: 24.991  44.352  30.758  -
FT: 22.61  23.489  53.902 
ROUND 1More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Marseille  VS  Strasbourg HT: 39.837  46.331  13.731  (Half: 0 - 0)
4 - 0
FT: 39.378  23.763  36.96 
Lens  VS  AJ Auxerre HT: 31.432  42.05  26.618  -
FT: 62.04  22.055  15.805 
Le Mans  VS  Stade Brestois 29 HT: 59.428  36.708  3.864  -
FT: 73.278  21.366  5.257 
Nice  VS  Lorient HT: 4.922  51.291  43.687  -
FT: 11.882  20.681  67.438 
Toulouse  VS  Lyon HT: 13.873  41.858  44.069  -
FT: 27.391  26.153  46.356 
Troyes  VS  Paris FC HT: 6.33  65.115  28.555  -
FT: 15.97  29.536  54.494 
Angers  VS  Lille HT: 8.441  43.382  47.977  -
FT: 14.2  24.909  60.791 
Le Havre AC  VS  Monaco HT: 25.156  39.721  35.323  -
FT: 36.628  26.731  36.841 
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)  VS  Stade Rennais FC HT: 53.639  25.37  20.99  -
FT: 75.478  11.526  9.996 
Stade Rennais FC  VS  Paris Saint Germain (PSG) HT: 17.603  48.956  33.441  -
FT: 25.332  27.712  46.856 
2026-08-23More..
League Teams VS / Kick Off Poisson Rating FT Detail
W% D% L%
Portugal Youth U19 League A2 FC Famalicao U19 VS Vitoria SC Guimaraes U19 11.64  16.09  71.87  VS
Chile C Lota Schwager VS Santiago Morning 42.07  22.06  35.66  VS
Chile C Linares Unido VS Santiago City 62.90  16.29  19.81  VS
Chile C Deportes Rengo VS General VelAsquez 50.28  22.98  26.84  VS
Chile C CD Trasandino de Los Andes VS Colchagua CD 47.66  23.83  28.71  VS
Club Friendly Match Extremadura VS Atletico de Madrid B 34.90  44.64  20.47  VS
Brazilian D-League Uberlandia MG VS ABC RN 13.89  21.10  65.01  VS
Venezuela Superliga Estudiantes Merida FC VS Academia Puerto Cabello 40.18  30.17  29.55  VS
Venezuela Superliga Monagas SC VS Portuguesa FC 34.09  23.38  42.52  VS
Venezuela Superliga Zamora Barinas VS Universidad Central de Venezuela 51.52  23.69  24.69  VS
Latest ArticlesMore ···
Poisson Football Score Prediction Tutorial 3:Tutorial for VIP users

This tutorial focuses on how Vip users can use the site. Our Poisson probability is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away historical matches as a basis, the algorithm calculates the xG of the game, and then the Poisson distribution formula calculates the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the probability of winning or losing.

More···
Poisson Football Score Prediction Tutorial 2:Tutorial for free users

This tutorial focuses on how free users can use the site. Our Poisson probability is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away historical matches as a basis, the algorithm calculates the xG of the game, and then the Poisson distribution formula calculates the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the probability of winning or losing.

More···
Poisson Football Score Prediction Tutorial 1:Basic Tutorials

This tutorial focuses on the significance of Poisson model data and the basic usage of the website. Our Poisson probability value is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away games as the historical data base, and the team's xG for the current game is calculated by the algorithm, and further based on the Poisson distribution formula, the probability of the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the win/draw/loss is calculated.

More···
Introduction to the use of advanced features of the Poisson model soccer score prediction tool

POISSONFOOTBALL.COM provides professional soccer score prediction tools, using Poisson distribution formula for soccer match score prediction. The advanced features of the tool provide more convenient and intuitive reference to analyze the data.

More···
What is probability?

Probability, which is a reflection of how likely a random event is to occur. A random event is an event that may or may not occur under the same conditions. The Poisson distribution is suitable for describing the number of times a random event occurs per unit of time. The Poisson distribution combined with historical data can be used to calculate the number of possible goals scored in a soccer match.

More···
Difference between free version and premium version

POISSONFOOTBALL.COM provides professional soccer score prediction tools, the development of the Poisson distribution formula used to predict the score of soccer matches on the website, this article lists in detail the free version and the premium version of the functional differences.

More···


This webpage uses cookies to improve functionality and performance. If you continue browsing the site, you are giving implied consent to the use of cookies on this website. See our Cookie Policy for details.

Accept