MIYI Poisson Model Predicts Soccer Scores Introduction

The Poisson distribution is a probability distribution that is widely used in mathematics and it plays an important role in predicting the scores of soccer matches.

The basic idea of Poisson distribution is that in a certain probability space, the probability of an event occurring is proportional to the number of times the event occurs. In soccer, each team has the possibility of winning and losing, no matter how many or how complex the factors affecting the game, the biggest impact on the outcome of the game is still the strength of the team. The strength of the team is ultimately reflected in the performance, that is, the number of goals scored; a game time the goals of the two teams can be regarded as a "goal scoring event", so you can use the Poisson distribution to predict the probability of the score of the game and the probability of winning or losing.

MIYI Poisson Football Score Prediction Model provides a dedicated Poisson distribution soccer score prediction model based on historical data, machine learning and other big data technologies, using advanced algorithms and theoretical foundations, as well as a large amount of real-world data for training and optimization to improve prediction accuracy.

In addition, www.mysoccers.cn has also developed a WeChat applet with Poisson distribution formula for soccer match score prediction. Users can select the team name of a soccer match on both the website and the applet, and then predict the probability of winning or losing the match and the score.

The advantage of MIYI www.mysoccers.cn is that it combines the Poisson distribution probability formula with soccer matches, providing users with a new method of predicting the score of soccer matches. In addition, it also provides abundant historical and real-time data as well as statistics, which users can choose and use according to their needs.

MIYI Poisson Soccer www.mysoccers.cn aims to be a professional soccer match score prediction platform. In the future, we will study more about the relationship between Poisson distribution probability formula and soccer matches to provide users with more and more efficient and accurate prediction models. With the continuous development and progress of technology, MIYI www.mysoccers.cn will also continue to improve and perfect, to provide users with more high-quality service and support.

The statistics, calculations and tools used by MIYI www.mysoccers.cn are detailed in the "How To Use " section.

Premier League
Bundesliga
Serie A
LaLiga
Ligue 1
Today
ROUND 2More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Crystal Palace  VS  Manchester City HT: 4.233  39.647  56.02  (Half: 0 - 1)
1 - 4
FT: 14.844  25.665  59.491 
Liverpool  VS  Nottingham Forest HT: 59.217  29.448  11.335  (Half: 0 - 1)
2 - 2
FT: 34.525  21.266  43.909 
Bournemouth AFC  VS  Everton HT: 27.295  44.702  28.003  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 31.314  22.977  45.61 
Coventry City  VS  Hull City HT: 30.717  43.585  25.698  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 1
FT: 68.876  17.924  13.001 
Tottenham Hotspur  VS  Newcastle United HT: 11.104  25.262  63.634  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 2
FT: 19.373  22.77  57.656 
Chelsea  VS  Brighton Hove Albion HT: 16.668  34.157  49.175  -
FT: 20.74  23.602  55.858 
Leeds United  VS  Brentford HT: 19.212  52.561  28.127  -
FT: 34.802  28.678  36.52 
Sunderland A.F.C  VS  Fulham HT: 40.994  53.116  5.89  -
FT: 34.299  35.365  30.436 
Manchester United  VS  Ipswich Town HT: 42.579  34.91  22.411  (Half: 1 - 1)
5 - 2
FT: 68.477  15.703  15.02 
Aston Villa  VS  Arsenal HT: 7.278  30.621  62.101  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 1
FT: 11.407  15.788  72.205 
ROUND 1More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Bayern Munchen  VS  VfB Stuttgart HT: 50.3  20.317  29.083  (Half: 1 - 0)
5 - 1
FT: 54.444  13.89  24.731 
SV Elversberg  VS  Bayer Leverkusen HT: 41.782  32.604  25.814  (Half: 2 - 0)
3 - 2
FT: 57.32  22.445  20.135 
FC Köln  VS  TSG Hoffenheim HT: 33.48  26.597  39.724  (Half: 0 - 1)
3 - 2
FT: 37.925  20.709  41.166 
FSV Mainz 05  VS  SC Paderborn 07 HT: 36.664  49.281  14.054  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 0
FT: 25.946  24.06  49.895 
RB Leipzig  VS  Borussia Monchengladbach HT: 81.048  17.883  1.069  (Half: 1 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 75.961  14.788  8.651 
Union Berlin  VS  Eintracht Frankfurt HT: 21.995  40.929  36.975  (Half: 1 - 2)
3 - 3
FT: 38.119  23.384  38.497 
Borussia Dortmund  VS  Hamburger SV HT: 43.203  40.835  16.062  (Half: 2 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 68.72  17.52  13.46 
SC Freiburg  VS  Werder Bremen HT: 42.829  48.167  8.903  -
FT: 52.932  27.941  19.026 
FC Augsburg  VS  Schalke 04 HT: 41.469  45.746  12.886  (Half: 1 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 67.041  20.452  12.407 
ROUND 2More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
AC Milan  VS  Venezia HT: 7.856  66.792  25.351  (Half: 0 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 44.428  28.975  26.597 
Sassuolo  VS  Torino HT: 62.712  25.589  11.799  (Half: 1 - 1)
2 - 1
FT: 72.729  15.776  10.995 
Fiorentina  VS  Frosinone HT: 38.788  48.625  12.487  (Half: 0 - 2)
0 - 3
FT: 54.014  30.999  14.888 
Monza  VS  Udinese HT: 9.397  40.708  49.995  (Half: 1 - 3)
2 - 3
FT: 4.844  11.406  82.751 
Juventus  VS  Parma HT: 40.228  51.161  8.611  (Half: 0 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 76.964  17.399  5.338 
Napoli  VS  Como HT: 21.222  38.811  39.867  -
FT: 21.783  26.527  51.49 
Lazio  VS  Genoa HT: 27.075  61.107  11.918  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 0
FT: 37.756  30.942  31.302 
Cagliari  VS  Inter Milan HT: 18.471  32.234  49.295  (Half: 0 - 1)
0 - 1
FT: 18.476  21.348  60.176 
Lecce  VS  AS Roma HT: 12.109  41.469  46.322  -
FT: 15.351  21.56  62.989 
Atalanta  VS  Bologna HT: 24.318  53.674  22.208  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 0
FT: 49.766  26.08  24.354 
ROUND 6More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Real Sociedad  VS  Real Club Celta de Vigo SAD HT: 38.465  41.648  19.887  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 0
FT: 34.875  23.448  41.677 
Deportivo Alavés  VS  Valencia HT:       -
FT:      
Atletico Madrid  VS  Osasuna HT:       -
FT:      
Real Betis  VS  Getafe HT:       -
FT:      
Deportivo La Coruna  VS  Sevilla HT:       -
FT:      
Elche  VS  Real Madrid HT:       -
FT:      
FC Barcelona  VS  Racing Santander HT:       -
FT:      
Levante  VS  Athletic Bilbao HT:       -
FT:      
Malaga  VS  Villarreal HT:       -
FT:      
Rayo Vallecano  VS  RCD Espanyol HT:       -
FT:      
ROUND 3More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Toulouse  VS  Lille HT: 7.89  56.258  35.951  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 1
FT: 11.062  27.192  61.846 
Lyon  VS  AJ Auxerre HT: 27.571  40.346  32.082  -
FT: 47.763  23.476  28.86 
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)  VS  Monaco HT: 42.174  33.671  24.154  -
FT: 65.318  17.838  16.344 
Lens  VS  Lorient HT: 24.465  58.396  17.339  -
FT: 52.684  22.755  24.361 
Le Havre AC  VS  Stade Brestois 29 HT: 40.494  43.129  16.177  -
FT: 51.876  29.535  18.489 
Nice  VS  Le Mans HT: 16.583  28.233  55.083  -
FT: 25.266  19.785  54.549 
Troyes  VS  Strasbourg HT: 8.774  37.863  53.263  -
FT: 14.869  20.972  63.859 
Angers  VS  Stade Rennais FC HT: 7.361  19.801  72.738  -
FT: 13.49  19.095  67.216 
Marseille  VS  Paris FC HT: 17.423  74.644  7.933  -
FT: 44.112  29.578  26.309 
2026-09-04More..
League Teams VS / Kick Off Poisson Rating FT Detail
W% D% L%
Italian Youth League Lecce U20 VS AS Roma U19 9.18  15.61  74.71  VS
Myanmar League Chinland FC VS Yangon United 0.12  0.82  79.55  VS
Israel B-League Hapoel Marmorek lrony Rehovot VS Hapoel Hadera 29.06  28.36  42.58  VS
Russian Youth Championship Konopliev Youth VS FK Ural Youth 58.67  22.71  18.52  VS
Russian Youth Championship Zenit St.Petersburg Youth VS Rubin Kazan (R) 84.06  8.97  4.68  VS
Ukraine Premier League Chernomorets Odessa VS FC Livyi Bereh 30.57  39.43  30.00  VS
Ukraine First Division Kolos Kovalivka II VS Lokomotiv Kyiv 13.41  34.03  52.67  VS
K2 Chungbuk Cheongju FC VS Seoul E-Land FC 12.70  18.78  68.33  VS
K2 Paju Citizen FC VS Daegu FC 23.80  24.78  51.52  VS
Vietnam Football League Binh Phuoc VS Viettel FC 82.55  13.36  3.69  VS
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This tutorial focuses on how Vip users can use the site. Our Poisson probability is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away historical matches as a basis, the algorithm calculates the xG of the game, and then the Poisson distribution formula calculates the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the probability of winning or losing.

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