MIYI Poisson Model Predicts Soccer Scores Introduction

The Poisson distribution is a probability distribution that is widely used in mathematics and it plays an important role in predicting the scores of soccer matches.

The basic idea of Poisson distribution is that in a certain probability space, the probability of an event occurring is proportional to the number of times the event occurs. In soccer, each team has the possibility of winning and losing, no matter how many or how complex the factors affecting the game, the biggest impact on the outcome of the game is still the strength of the team. The strength of the team is ultimately reflected in the performance, that is, the number of goals scored; a game time the goals of the two teams can be regarded as a "goal scoring event", so you can use the Poisson distribution to predict the probability of the score of the game and the probability of winning or losing.

MIYI Poisson Football Score Prediction Model provides a dedicated Poisson distribution soccer score prediction model based on historical data, machine learning and other big data technologies, using advanced algorithms and theoretical foundations, as well as a large amount of real-world data for training and optimization to improve prediction accuracy.

In addition, www.mysoccers.cn has also developed a WeChat applet with Poisson distribution formula for soccer match score prediction. Users can select the team name of a soccer match on both the website and the applet, and then predict the probability of winning or losing the match and the score.

The advantage of MIYI www.mysoccers.cn is that it combines the Poisson distribution probability formula with soccer matches, providing users with a new method of predicting the score of soccer matches. In addition, it also provides abundant historical and real-time data as well as statistics, which users can choose and use according to their needs.

MIYI Poisson Soccer www.mysoccers.cn aims to be a professional soccer match score prediction platform. In the future, we will study more about the relationship between Poisson distribution probability formula and soccer matches to provide users with more and more efficient and accurate prediction models. With the continuous development and progress of technology, MIYI www.mysoccers.cn will also continue to improve and perfect, to provide users with more high-quality service and support.

The statistics, calculations and tools used by MIYI www.mysoccers.cn are detailed in the "How To Use " section.

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ROUND 33More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Brentford  VS  Fulham HT: 44.523  42.134  13.242  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 0
FT: 50.689  24.51  24.701 
Leeds United  VS  Wolves HT: 55.56  40.801  3.739  (Half: 2 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 66.121  22.191  11.588 
Newcastle United  VS  Bournemouth AFC HT: 44.788  27.81  27.302  (Half: 0 - 1)
1 - 2
FT: 39.794  19.446  40.361 
Tottenham Hotspur  VS  Brighton Hove Albion HT: 14.965  35.526  49.609  -
FT: 15.644  21.949  62.207 
Chelsea  VS  Manchester United HT: 44.523  42.134  13.242  -
FT: 29.956  22.501  47.542 
Aston Villa  VS  Sunderland A.F.C HT: 49.584  46.821  3.595  -
FT: 62.15  25.354  12.397 
Everton  VS  Liverpool HT: 28.028  60.397  11.675  -
FT: 32.73  24.617  42.454 
Nottingham Forest  VS  Burnley HT: 33.7  55.637  10.663  -
FT: 39.963  36.428  23.509 
Manchester City  VS  Arsenal HT: 55.01  40.677  4.312  -
FT: 51.007  25.818  22.975 
Crystal Palace  VS  West Ham United HT: 30.079  43.659  26.262  -
FT: 35.044  28.685  36.271 
ROUND 30More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
FC St. Pauli  VS  FC Köln HT: 22.467  63.404  14.029  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 31.326  31.78  36.794 
Werder Bremen  VS  Hamburger SV HT: 9.479  50.01  40.51  (Half: 1 - 1)
3 - 1
FT: 33.265  26.893  39.743 
Bayer Leverkusen  VS  FC Augsburg HT: 69.019  20.681  10.1  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 2
FT: 83.234  10.346  5.218 
Union Berlin  VS  VfL Wolfsburg HT: 17.919  36.657  45.324  (Half: 0 - 1)
1 - 2
FT: 51.759  21.29  26.951 
TSG Hoffenheim  VS  Borussia Dortmund HT: 33.884  47.5  18.715  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 1
FT: 45.435  26.604  28.061 
Eintracht Frankfurt  VS  RB Leipzig HT: 9.825  60.284  29.991  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 3
FT: 26.285  25.912  47.903 
SC Freiburg  VS  1. FC Heidenheim HT: 61.689  31.751  6.459  -
FT: 73.088  16.591  10.021 
Bayern Munchen  VS  VfB Stuttgart HT: 54.328  21.815  23.756  -
FT: 64.905  12.355  16.452 
Borussia Monchengladbach  VS  FSV Mainz 05 HT: 37.596  37.155  25.149  -
FT: 46.551  25.92  27.529 
ROUND 33More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Sassuolo  VS  Como HT: 9.642  36.242  54.117  (Half: 2 - 1)
2 - 1
FT: 10.44  17.874  71.286 
Inter Milan  VS  Cagliari HT: 72.771  19.668  7.261  (Half: 0 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 81.901  8.819  5.68 
Udinese  VS  Parma HT: 24.061  55.767  20.273  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 1
FT: 37.256  38.025  24.719 
Napoli  VS  Lazio HT: 24.228  69.767  5.905  (Half: 0 - 1)
0 - 2
FT: 41.613  37.482  20.804 
AS Roma  VS  Atalanta HT: 58.101  39.484  2.416  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 1
FT: 54.898  27.741  17.262 
Cremonese  VS  Torino HT: 18.095  49.072  32.733  -
FT: 25.034  25.531  49.535 
Verona  VS  AC Milan HT: 14.072  44.45  41.477  -
FT: 5.564  14.3  79.836 
Pisa  VS  Genoa HT: 10.33  65.113  24.557  -
FT: 15.809  25.492  58.899 
Juventus  VS  Bologna HT: 26.368  41.502  32.031  -
FT: 55.98  22.078  21.942 
Lecce  VS  Fiorentina HT: 29.217  45.916  24.768  -
FT: 21.758  24.764  53.377 
ROUND 31More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Real Madrid  VS  Girona HT: 25.132  53.86  20.909  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 59.459  22.794  17.747 
Real Sociedad  VS  Deportivo Alavés HT: 49.398  39.298  11.204  (Half: 2 - 2)
3 - 3
FT: 64.686  16.553  17.762 
Elche  VS  Valencia HT: 38.081  41.19  20.729  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 0
FT: 47.662  24.167  28.17 
FC Barcelona  VS  RCD Espanyol HT: 55.127  35.212  9.861  (Half: 2 - 0)
4 - 1
FT: 84.814  9.834  4.153 
Sevilla  VS  Atletico Madrid HT: 8.949  46.9  44.151  (Half: 2 - 1)
2 - 1
FT: 20.269  31.331  48.4 
Osasuna  VS  Real Betis HT: 43.293  43.947  12.76  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 1
FT: 44.425  25.114  30.361 
Mallorca  VS  Rayo Vallecano HT: 28.094  41.579  30.227  (Half: 2 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 65.484  21.468  13.048 
Real Club Celta de Vigo SAD  VS  Real Oviedo HT: 49.066  32.433  18.402  (Half: 0 - 2)
0 - 3
FT: 69.505  15.854  13.941 
Athletic Bilbao  VS  Villarreal HT: 31.699  44.987  23.314  (Half: 0 - 2)
1 - 2
FT: 26.73  26.165  47.105 
Levante  VS  Getafe HT: 7.826  61.216  31.058  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 0
FT: 30.249  35.245  34.706 
ROUND 30More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Lens  VS  Toulouse HT: 55.38  32.38  12.24  (Half: 0 - 2)
3 - 2
FT: 71.875  17.563  10.362 
Lorient  VS  Marseille HT: 36.806  34.506  28.688  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 52.98  22.442  24.479 
Angers  VS  Le Havre AC HT: 30.1  62.57  7.33  (Half: 1 - 1)
1 - 1
FT: 56.595  29.841  13.664 
Lille  VS  Nice HT: 51.285  37.683  10.832  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 0
FT: 73.263  15.34  10.797 
Monaco  VS  AJ Auxerre HT: 27.367  47.324  25.309  -
FT: 58.492  24.298  17.21 
Metz  VS  Paris FC HT: 5.682  48.803  45.415  -
FT: 22.715  27.705  49.48 
Nantes  VS  Stade Brestois 29 HT: 41.556  36.453  21.891  -
FT: 36.224  25.31  38.566 
Strasbourg  VS  Stade Rennais FC HT: 40.43  43.886  15.784  -
FT: 52.98  22.442  24.479 
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)  VS  Lyon HT: 34.239  41.472  24.189  -
FT: 65.328  20.391  14.181 
2026-04-20More..
League Teams VS / Kick Off Poisson Rating FT Detail
W% D% L%
Gambia Premier League Bombada FC VS Greater Tomorrow FC 69.35  17.90  12.55  VS
Brazil Primera Division Red Bull Bragantino VS Remo Belem (PA) 68.58  21.77  9.65  VS
Brazil Primera Division Palmeiras VS Athletico Paranaense 79.57  14.73  5.49  VS
Argentina B San Martin Tucuman VS Tristan Suarez 25.47  46.17  28.36  VS
Chile B San Luis Quillota VS Municipal Iquique 32.97  29.19  37.84  VS
Nicaragua Primera A Rancho Santana FC VS Jalapa 8.29  11.69  78.12  VS
Peru Primera A FBC Melgar VS Universitario De Deportes 45.25  24.82  29.83  VS
Brazil Primera Division CR Flamengo VS Bahia 75.07  16.52  8.10  VS
Argentina B Racing de Cordoba VS Defensores de Belgrano 34.17  32.57  33.17  VS
Chile Primera Division Colo Colo VS Palestino 63.29  19.68  17.03  VS
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This tutorial focuses on how Vip users can use the site. Our Poisson probability is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away historical matches as a basis, the algorithm calculates the xG of the game, and then the Poisson distribution formula calculates the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the probability of winning or losing.

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