MIYI Poisson Model Predicts Soccer Scores Introduction

The Poisson distribution is a probability distribution that is widely used in mathematics and it plays an important role in predicting the scores of soccer matches.

The basic idea of Poisson distribution is that in a certain probability space, the probability of an event occurring is proportional to the number of times the event occurs. In soccer, each team has the possibility of winning and losing, no matter how many or how complex the factors affecting the game, the biggest impact on the outcome of the game is still the strength of the team. The strength of the team is ultimately reflected in the performance, that is, the number of goals scored; a game time the goals of the two teams can be regarded as a "goal scoring event", so you can use the Poisson distribution to predict the probability of the score of the game and the probability of winning or losing.

MIYI Poisson Football Score Prediction Model provides a dedicated Poisson distribution soccer score prediction model based on historical data, machine learning and other big data technologies, using advanced algorithms and theoretical foundations, as well as a large amount of real-world data for training and optimization to improve prediction accuracy.

In addition, www.mysoccers.cn has also developed a WeChat applet with Poisson distribution formula for soccer match score prediction. Users can select the team name of a soccer match on both the website and the applet, and then predict the probability of winning or losing the match and the score.

The advantage of MIYI www.mysoccers.cn is that it combines the Poisson distribution probability formula with soccer matches, providing users with a new method of predicting the score of soccer matches. In addition, it also provides abundant historical and real-time data as well as statistics, which users can choose and use according to their needs.

MIYI Poisson Soccer www.mysoccers.cn aims to be a professional soccer match score prediction platform. In the future, we will study more about the relationship between Poisson distribution probability formula and soccer matches to provide users with more and more efficient and accurate prediction models. With the continuous development and progress of technology, MIYI www.mysoccers.cn will also continue to improve and perfect, to provide users with more high-quality service and support.

The statistics, calculations and tools used by MIYI www.mysoccers.cn are detailed in the "How To Use " section.

Premier League
Bundesliga
Serie A
LaLiga
Ligue 1
Today
ROUND 1More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Arsenal  VS  Coventry City HT: 52.8  47.2  (Half: 2 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 31.175  32.164  36.661 
Hull City  VS  Manchester United HT: 18.021  45.733  36.346  (Half: 2 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 22.413  26.76  50.828 
Everton  VS  Crystal Palace HT: 35.446  38.875  25.578  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 47.086  22.301  30.613 
Ipswich Town  VS  Sunderland A.F.C HT: 24.605  37.374  38.021  (Half: 1 - 1)
2 - 1
FT: 7.668  11.558  79.075 
Nottingham Forest  VS  Leeds United HT: 5.343  57.359  37.298  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 1
FT: 31.318  34.872  34.011 
Brentford  VS  Tottenham Hotspur HT: 36.422  40.796  22.782  (Half: 2 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 41.392  29.108  29.4 
Brighton Hove Albion  VS  Aston Villa HT: 22.859  48.215  28.826  (Half: 4 - 0)
4 - 0
FT: 51.208  27.532  21.159 
Manchester City  VS  Bournemouth AFC HT: 56.602  34.583  8.815  (Half: 0 - 1)
2 - 1
FT: 34.148  32.475  33.377 
Newcastle United  VS  Liverpool HT: 43.246  35.262  21.393  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 2
FT: 40.806  19.5  39.294 
Fulham  VS  Chelsea HT: 41.701  49.597  8.701  (Half: 1 - 2)
2 - 3
FT: 46.111  23.817  29.972 
ROUND 34More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Bayer Leverkusen  VS  Hamburger SV HT: 32.713  37.15  30.137  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 65.055  18.405  16.34 
FC St. Pauli  VS  VfL Wolfsburg HT: 19.229  53.855  26.916  (Half: 0 - 1)
1 - 3
FT: 44.238  24.628  31.134 
Union Berlin  VS  FC Augsburg HT: 15.436  50.089  34.275  (Half: 2 - 0)
4 - 0
FT: 33.032  25.859  41.108 
Borussia Monchengladbach  VS  TSG Hoffenheim HT: 45.472  29.105  25.523  (Half: 2 - 0)
4 - 0
FT: 46.733  26.134  27.133 
Werder Bremen  VS  Borussia Dortmund HT: 3.341  35.141  61.518  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 2
FT: 9.117  15.444  75.04 
Bayern Munchen  VS  FC Köln HT: 64.128  25.236  10.536  (Half: 3 - 1)
5 - 1
FT: 80.706  9.173  6.317 
1. FC Heidenheim  VS  FSV Mainz 05 HT: 15.638  27.536  56.726  (Half: 0 - 2)
0 - 2
FT: 23.909  19.929  55.962 
Eintracht Frankfurt  VS  VfB Stuttgart HT: 23.417  36.271  40.212  (Half: 0 - 2)
2 - 2
FT: 20.542  16.47  61.789 
SC Freiburg  VS  RB Leipzig HT: 23.19  60.258  16.652  (Half: 2 - 1)
4 - 1
FT: 33.776  27.234  38.99 
ROUND 1More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Inter Milan  VS  Monza HT: 69.039  24.546  6.515  (Half: 1 - 1)
4 - 1
FT: 78.457  1.564  0.479 
Udinese  VS  Como HT: 10.046  51.053  38.901  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 10.518  29.035  60.346 
Genoa  VS  Napoli HT: 17.396  36.913  45.591  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 2
FT: 33.198  22.739  44.163 
Parma  VS  Cagliari HT: 15.761  64.265  19.973  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 1
FT: 42.32  27.388  30.292 
Frosinone  VS  Juventus HT: 7.551  39.415  52.934  (Half: 0 - 1)
0 - 1
FT: 11.024  14.175  74 
Venezia  VS  Lecce HT: 15.519  63.398  21.083  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 2
FT: 27.044  38.007  34.85 
Atalanta  VS  Sassuolo HT: 44.752  49.715  5.633  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 1
FT: 62.932  25.757  11.211 
Torino  VS  AC Milan HT: 13.359  55.568  30.872  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 2
FT: 27.286  25.248  47.466 
Bologna  VS  Lazio HT: 16.04  65.258  18.702  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 1
FT: 16.803  31.808  51.389 
AS Roma  VS  Fiorentina HT: 52.643  41.824  5.433  (Half: 1 - 0)
4 - 0
FT: 80.175  12.863  6.362 
ROUND 1More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Deportivo Alavés  VS  Getafe HT: 20.636  63.982  15.382  (Half: 0 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 17.111  32.36  50.528 
Sevilla  VS  Rayo Vallecano HT: 39.306  44.865  15.828  (Half: 0 - 1)
2 - 1
FT: 43.437  32.606  24.058 
Racing Santander  VS  Villarreal HT: 54.729  26.456  18.715  (Half: 2 - 2)
2 - 2
FT: 67.36  16.094  15.646 
RCD Espanyol  VS  Levante HT: 12.288  53.37  34.242  (Half: 2 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 28.997  27.304  43.7 
Deportivo La Coruna  VS  Elche HT: 25.911  38.17  35.72  (Half: 1 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 59.445  21.9  18.554 
Atletico Madrid  VS  Malaga HT: 12.726  38.352  48.622  (Half: 0 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 25.244  21.437  53.319 
Valencia  VS  Real Betis HT: 24.567  59.841  15.593  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 1
FT: 34.693  23.195  42.011 
Real Madrid  VS  Real Sociedad HT: 52.502  30.72  16.778  -
FT: 73.561  14.752  10.987 
Real Club Celta de Vigo SAD  VS  Osasuna HT: 43.826  34.987  21.187  -
FT: 46.772  22.899  30.428 
FC Barcelona  VS  Athletic Bilbao HT: 87.611  11.096  0.993  -
FT: 86.472  4.408  1.735 
ROUND 1More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Marseille  VS  Strasbourg HT: 39.837  46.331  13.731  (Half: 0 - 0)
4 - 0
FT: 39.378  23.763  36.96 
Lens  VS  AJ Auxerre HT: 31.432  42.05  26.618  (Half: 1 - 0)
5 - 2
FT: 62.04  22.055  15.805 
Le Mans  VS  Stade Brestois 29 HT: 59.428  36.708  3.864  (Half: 1 - 1)
2 - 2
FT: 73.278  21.366  5.257 
Nice  VS  Lorient HT: 4.922  51.291  43.687  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 0
FT: 11.882  20.681  67.438 
Toulouse  VS  Lyon HT: 13.873  41.858  44.069  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 2
FT: 27.391  26.153  46.356 
Troyes  VS  Paris FC HT: 6.33  65.115  28.555  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 0
FT: 15.97  29.536  54.494 
Angers  VS  Lille HT: 8.441  43.382  47.977  (Half: 0 - 2)
0 - 2
FT: 14.2  24.909  60.791 
Le Havre AC  VS  Monaco HT: 25.156  39.721  35.323  (Half: 0 - 1)
0 - 1
FT: 36.628  26.731  36.841 
Stade Rennais FC  VS  Paris Saint Germain (PSG) HT: 17.603  48.956  33.441  (Half: 2 - 0)
2 - 2
FT: 25.332  27.712  46.856 
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)  VS  Stade Rennais FC HT: 53.639  25.371  20.99  -
FT: 75.478  11.526  9.996 
2026-08-26More..
League Teams VS / Kick Off Poisson Rating FT Detail
W% D% L%
Portugal U23 League Santa Clara U23 VS Torreense U23 32.23  22.86  45.02  VS
Club Friendly Match FC Barcelona Atlètic VS Reus FC Reddis 78.69  14.82  6.29  VS
England Championship Blackpool VS Aston Villa U21 70.26  17.40  11.94  VS
Kuwait League Kazma VS Al-Ttadamon(KUW) 58.96  24.14  17.00  VS
Czech U19 League Hradec Kralove U19 VS Slavia Praha U19 79.53  9.28  6.80  VS
Czech U19 League Teplice U19 VS Slovacko U19 40.50  26.67  32.73  VS
Euromediterranean Games North Macedonia U21 VS Morocco U21 VS
Euromediterranean Games Turkey U21 VS Tunisia U21 VS
Hungary Women's First Division MTK Hungaria FC (w) VS Astra Hungary (w) 83.34  15.40  1.26  VS
Australian FA Cup Preston Lions VS South Melbourne 32.26  21.56  45.98  VS
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This tutorial focuses on how Vip users can use the site. Our Poisson probability is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away historical matches as a basis, the algorithm calculates the xG of the game, and then the Poisson distribution formula calculates the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the probability of winning or losing.

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