MIYI Poisson Model Predicts Soccer Scores Introduction

The Poisson distribution is a probability distribution that is widely used in mathematics and it plays an important role in predicting the scores of soccer matches.

The basic idea of Poisson distribution is that in a certain probability space, the probability of an event occurring is proportional to the number of times the event occurs. In soccer, each team has the possibility of winning and losing, no matter how many or how complex the factors affecting the game, the biggest impact on the outcome of the game is still the strength of the team. The strength of the team is ultimately reflected in the performance, that is, the number of goals scored; a game time the goals of the two teams can be regarded as a "goal scoring event", so you can use the Poisson distribution to predict the probability of the score of the game and the probability of winning or losing.

MIYI Poisson Football Score Prediction Model provides a dedicated Poisson distribution soccer score prediction model based on historical data, machine learning and other big data technologies, using advanced algorithms and theoretical foundations, as well as a large amount of real-world data for training and optimization to improve prediction accuracy.

In addition, www.mysoccers.cn has also developed a WeChat applet with Poisson distribution formula for soccer match score prediction. Users can select the team name of a soccer match on both the website and the applet, and then predict the probability of winning or losing the match and the score.

The advantage of MIYI www.mysoccers.cn is that it combines the Poisson distribution probability formula with soccer matches, providing users with a new method of predicting the score of soccer matches. In addition, it also provides abundant historical and real-time data as well as statistics, which users can choose and use according to their needs.

MIYI Poisson Soccer www.mysoccers.cn aims to be a professional soccer match score prediction platform. In the future, we will study more about the relationship between Poisson distribution probability formula and soccer matches to provide users with more and more efficient and accurate prediction models. With the continuous development and progress of technology, MIYI www.mysoccers.cn will also continue to improve and perfect, to provide users with more high-quality service and support.

The statistics, calculations and tools used by MIYI www.mysoccers.cn are detailed in the "How To Use " section.

Premier League
Bundesliga
Serie A
LaLiga
Ligue 1
Today
ROUND 35More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Leeds United  VS  Burnley HT: 55.497  36.941  7.562  (Half: 1 - 0)
3 - 1
FT: 69.588  17.711  12.402 
Wolves  VS  Sunderland A.F.C HT: 44.612  45.701  9.587  (Half: 0 - 1)
1 - 1
FT: 47.815  25.475  26.61 
Brentford  VS  West Ham United HT: 45.003  38.116  16.881  (Half: 1 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 57.273  23.721  19.006 
Newcastle United  VS  Brighton Hove Albion HT: 32.834  32.9  34.366  (Half: 2 - 0)
3 - 1
FT: 33.798  22.391  43.412 
Arsenal  VS  Fulham HT: 50.857  44.451  4.593  (Half: 3 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 63.441  22.166  14.194 
Bournemouth AFC  VS  Crystal Palace HT: 29.638  39.436  30.926  -
FT: 47.392  23.296  29.312 
Manchester United  VS  Liverpool HT: 33.709  52.274  14.117  -
FT: 53.847  20.623  25.329 
Aston Villa  VS  Tottenham Hotspur HT: 49.688  38.25  11.862  -
FT: 56.487  24.468  18.846 
Chelsea  VS  Nottingham Forest HT: 50.936  28.774  20.29  -
FT: 29.143  22.26  48.597 
Everton  VS  Manchester City HT: 6.302  62.84  30.858  -
FT: 18.643  26.963  54.294 
ROUND 32More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Eintracht Frankfurt  VS  Hamburger SV HT: 25.44  53.593  20.867  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 2
FT: 51.534  24.127  24.239 
Union Berlin  VS  FC Köln HT: 23.19  54.353  22.656  (Half: 0 - 1)
2 - 2
FT: 38.666  26.017  35.218 
Werder Bremen  VS  FC Augsburg HT: 21.858  50.363  27.779  (Half: 0 - 2)
1 - 3
FT: 34.553  27.724  37.822 
Bayern Munchen  VS  1. FC Heidenheim HT: 61.582  28.252  10.166  (Half: 1 - 2)
3 - 3
FT: 81.842  8.661  5.598 
TSG Hoffenheim  VS  VfB Stuttgart HT: 66.725  23.269  9.806  (Half: 2 - 1)
3 - 3
FT: 55.373  19.137  24.99 
Bayer Leverkusen  VS  RB Leipzig HT: 23.781  38.626  37.293  (Half: 2 - 0)
4 - 1
FT: 42.265  24.157  33.678 
FC St. Pauli  VS  FSV Mainz 05 HT: 22.74  62.985  14.275  -
FT: 27.204  29.304  43.392 
Borussia Monchengladbach  VS  Borussia Dortmund HT: 20.736  44.743  34.42  -
FT: 25.116  25.923  48.861 
SC Freiburg  VS  VfL Wolfsburg HT: 41.764  34.85  23.387  -
FT: 71.722  14.541  12.538 
ROUND 35More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Pisa  VS  Lecce HT: 12.558  63.671  23.671  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 2
FT: 26.309  37.991  35.5 
Udinese  VS  Torino HT: 34.862  54.013  11.124  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 0
FT: 47.303  30.122  22.475 
Como  VS  Napoli HT: 27.006  31.407  41.587  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 0
FT: 49.688  21.24  28.972 
Atalanta  VS  Genoa HT: 60.049  35.498  4.553  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 0
FT: 59.34  25.349  15.21 
Bologna  VS  Cagliari HT: 7.862  58.918  33.02  -
FT: 24.475  27.562  47.964 
Sassuolo  VS  AC Milan HT: 11.671  43.53  44.798  -
FT: 9.487  21.302  69.211 
Juventus  VS  Verona HT: 62.679  28.24  8.881  -
FT: 86.217  8.915  3.469 
Inter Milan  VS  Parma HT: 52.831  35.448  11.62  -
FT: 74.821  15.564  9.116 
Cremonese  VS  Lazio HT: 5.157  67.298  27.645  -
FT: 8.568  32.169  59.163 
AS Roma  VS  Fiorentina HT: 39.978  51.898  8.223  -
FT: 70.609  17.924  11.366 
ROUND 34More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Girona  VS  Mallorca HT: 27.465  54.277  18.157  (Half: 0 - 1)
0 - 1
FT: 55.819  26.807  17.574 
Villarreal  VS  Levante HT: 65.967  28.822  5.21  (Half: 1 - 0)
5 - 1
FT: 70.624  18.596  10.78 
Valencia  VS  Atletico Madrid HT: 12.32  66.339  21.441  (Half: 0 - 0)
0 - 2
FT: 40.418  25.866  33.716 
Deportivo Alavés  VS  Athletic Bilbao HT: 26.592  46.985  26.323  (Half: 1 - 0)
2 - 4
FT: 36.844  26.811  36.545 
Osasuna  VS  FC Barcelona HT: 21.555  34.67  43.674  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 2
FT: 22.714  21.366  56.02 
Real Club Celta de Vigo SAD  VS  Elche HT: 28.184  36.515  35.301  -
FT: 53.683  20.262  25.756 
Getafe  VS  Rayo Vallecano HT: 37.689  59.741  2.47  -
FT: 53.556  38.18  8.164 
Real Betis  VS  Real Oviedo HT: 22.051  32.045  45.705  -
FT: 61.863  18.68  19.057 
RCD Espanyol  VS  Real Madrid HT: 7.028  46.831  46.141  -
FT: 6.992  17.22  75.489 
Sevilla  VS  Real Sociedad HT: 33.242  33.762  32.996  -
FT: 25.741  23.743  50.616 
ROUND 32More..
Teams Poisson Rating Score Detail
Time W D L
Nantes  VS  Marseille HT: 16.8  29.299  53.701  (Half: 0 - 0)
3 - 0
FT: 17.962  20.814  61.123 
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)  VS  Lorient HT: 35.447  52.571  11.781  (Half: 1 - 1)
2 - 2
FT: 81.424  12.486  5.49 
Metz  VS  Monaco HT: 18.59  36.572  44.738  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 2
FT: 21.399  21.401  57.201 
Nice  VS  Lens HT: 11.15  27.697  61.153  (Half: 0 - 0)
1 - 1
FT: 5.722  8.998  81.976 
Lille  VS  Le Havre AC HT: 32.89  60.393  6.617  -
FT: 59.057  29.403  11.54 
AJ Auxerre  VS  Angers HT: 23.607  62.069  14.225  -
FT: 41.193  38.851  19.757 
Paris FC  VS  Stade Brestois 29 HT: 48.044  36.003  15.953  -
FT: 40.093  27.222  32.785 
Strasbourg  VS  Toulouse HT: 42.16  34.411  23.428  -
FT: 36.283  25.381  38.237 
Lyon  VS  Stade Rennais FC HT: 25.334  45.998  28.669  -
FT: 47.079  23.146  29.575 
2026-05-03More..
League Teams VS / Kick Off Poisson Rating FT Detail
W% D% L%
Mali Ligue 1 Derby Académie VS Stade Malien de Bamako 3.80  17.72  78.58  VS
Poland C Sandecja Nowy Sacz VS Podhale Nowy Targ 42.26  27.59  30.04  VS
Spain Women's First Division Atletico de Madrid (w) VS Eibar (w) 78.20  14.92  6.58  VS
Spain Women's First Division Deportivo La Coruna W VS Real Sociedad (w) 9.59  13.56  75.65  VS
Ukraine Premier League Obolon Kiev VS Kudrivka 27.20  29.30  43.39  VS
Spain Real Club de Fútbol Second Division Real Oviedo B VS Union Langreo 40.93  26.78  32.28  VS
Spain Real Club de Fútbol Second Division CF Salmantino VS CD Lealtad 51.66  26.97  21.27  VS
Spain Real Club de Fútbol Second Division Real Jaen CF VS CA Antoniano 76.58  17.00  6.11  VS
Spain Real Club de Fútbol Second Division CD Linares Deportivo VS Extremadura 35.77  26.80  37.33  VS
Spain Real Club de Fútbol Second Division Yeclano Deportivo VS CD Estebona 40.64  29.52  29.64  VS
Latest ArticlesMore ···
Poisson Football Score Prediction Tutorial 3:Tutorial for VIP users

This tutorial focuses on how Vip users can use the site. Our Poisson probability is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away historical matches as a basis, the algorithm calculates the xG of the game, and then the Poisson distribution formula calculates the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the probability of winning or losing.

More···
Poisson Football Score Prediction Tutorial 2:Tutorial for free users

This tutorial focuses on how free users can use the site. Our Poisson probability is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away historical matches as a basis, the algorithm calculates the xG of the game, and then the Poisson distribution formula calculates the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the probability of winning or losing.

More···
Poisson Football Score Prediction Tutorial 1:Basic Tutorials

This tutorial focuses on the significance of Poisson model data and the basic usage of the website. Our Poisson probability value is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away games as the historical data base, and the team's xG for the current game is calculated by the algorithm, and further based on the Poisson distribution formula, the probability of the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the win/draw/loss is calculated.

More···
Introduction to the use of advanced features of the Poisson model soccer score prediction tool

POISSONFOOTBALL.COM provides professional soccer score prediction tools, using Poisson distribution formula for soccer match score prediction. The advanced features of the tool provide more convenient and intuitive reference to analyze the data.

More···
What is probability?

Probability, which is a reflection of how likely a random event is to occur. A random event is an event that may or may not occur under the same conditions. The Poisson distribution is suitable for describing the number of times a random event occurs per unit of time. The Poisson distribution combined with historical data can be used to calculate the number of possible goals scored in a soccer match.

More···
Difference between free version and premium version

POISSONFOOTBALL.COM provides professional soccer score prediction tools, the development of the Poisson distribution formula used to predict the score of soccer matches on the website, this article lists in detail the free version and the premium version of the functional differences.

More···


This webpage uses cookies to improve functionality and performance. If you continue browsing the site, you are giving implied consent to the use of cookies on this website. See our Cookie Policy for details.

Accept