Poisson Football Score Prediction Tutorial 2:Tutorial for free users
我们的泊松概率值以球队最近10场主客场比赛中进球数作为历史数据库,通过算法计算出当前比赛的xG值,并基于泊松分布公式,进一步计算出具体进球数、比分以及胜平负的概率。
Our Poisson probability value is based on the number of goals scored in the team's recent 10 home/away games as the historical data base, and the team's xG for the current game is calculated by the algorithm, and further based on the Poisson distribution formula, the probability of the specific number of goals scored, the score, and the win/draw/loss is calculated.
本教程主要介绍免费用户如何使用我们的网站。
This tutorial focuses on how free users can use the site.
1. 我们的网站有部分免费的功能,您无需注册即可使用。免费联赛的入口在顶部导航栏的 " Free Tournaments "菜单中;对于免费部分的功能,您可以在主页上看到一些 "Today"结果概率,但不能点击 "Detail "链接查看详细分析。
We have a free section of our website that you can use without registering. The entrance to the free leagues is in the " Free Tournaments" menu in the top navigation bar; for the free part of the functionality, on the home page you can see some of the "Today" result probabilities, but you cannot click on the "Detail" link to see the detailed analysis.
2. 免费用户可以查看五大联赛的比赛详情,具体入口如图所示,从上图所示入口进入相应的各轮联赛比赛列表,然后点击 "详情 "按钮,即可进入比赛详情分析页面。
Free users can view the details of the matches of the five major leagues, the specific entrance, from the entrance shown in the above figure to enter the corresponding list of rounds of league matches, and then click on the "Details" button, you can enter the details of the game analysis page.
3. 本部分内容开始说明详细页面上数据的含义和用法
This section begins to explain the meaning and usage of the data on the detail page
(1). 数据的基本含义(Basic meaning of data)
(2). 数据特征图表的涵义(Meaning of Data Characterization Chart)
(3). 基本的分析方法(Basic analytical methods):
根据(2)的图表显示的总进球,比分经常出现的概率范围,对(1)图里面列出的总进球、比分概率进行排除;
The total goals, score probabilities listed inside the graph of (1) are eliminated based on the range of probabilities that the graph of (2) shows that the total goals, score frequently occur;
例如:某场比赛,泊松概率给出的总进球0的概率大于27%,并且比分(0:0)的概率值大于20%,此时,虽然总进球0和比分0:0可能是概率最大的两个,但是由(2)图里面显示的范围,这两个是极小的几率出现甚至从来没出现过,那么基本可以排除总进球0和0:0比分这两个结果。
For example, for a certain match, the Poisson probability gives a probability of total goal 0 greater than 27% and the probability value of the score (0:0) is greater than 20%, at this point, although the total goal 0 and the score 0:0 may be the two with the highest probability, but by the range shown inside the figure in (2), these two are extremely small chance of appearing or even never appeared, so we can basically rule out the total goal 0 and the score of 0:0 as the two Results.
当然这个使用思路只是其中之一,当您明白了各个图表,数据的意义之后,可以有您自己的分析方法。
Of course, this is only one of the ideas, once you understand the significance of the charts and data, you can have your own analysis methods.
再次提醒:泊松分布有其局限性,可以作为辅助分析工具,不能完全替代对一场比赛的分析。基本上任何数据统计都只能反应大部分的数据规律,但是单场比赛还是需要仔细分析判断。
Reminder again: Poisson distribution has its limitations, can be used as an auxiliary analysis tool, can not completely replace the analysis of a game. Basically, any statistics can only respond to most of the data pattern, but a single game or need to carefully analyze the judgment.
关于我们网站免费用户的使用教程介绍就到这里了,下一期,将是VIP用户的详细使用教程。
About our website free users of the use of tutorials introduced here, the next installment, will be the use of VIP users of the detailed tutorials.
祝大家好运!
Good luck to everyone!